Minimal risk sports betting strategy is a great way to enjoy online sports betting without major losses. That’s the principle of this strategy, which has its origin in poker. Minimal risk strategy can allow you to win more bets than lose them, so outperforming the bookmakers over time is possible. It’s an original mathematically grounded betting strategy, in which the goal is to cover more bets than bring down. That’s the only way you could make money in online sports betting with minimal risk. As a formula, it looks like this:
Minimal Risk Betting Strategy = Number of Bets – 1
This betting strategy has 7 simple rules. They are applied for every bet placed by using statistical data about previous outcomes of events on similar matches. Some minor adjustments might be necessary according to recent fluctuations in performance variables of two teams or players that have a mutual influence on each other. Still, these 7 rules are often valid enough to produce good results when applied correctly as a sports betting strategy.
#1 Rule – Avoid games with wide odds
The first rule requires avoiding games with wide odds, especially those greater than 3.0 and up to 5.0 (for European matches) or even more for international competitions like World Cup qualifiers and finals. It could be a good idea to make an exception and bet on such games once in a while (e.g., every second or third time) but only if you have an acceptable alternative source of information, e.g., friends who are attending the game live or internet stream of the match with audio commentary being provided by an expert with insight into most aspects of the game happening there at that moment.
#2 Rule – Avoid draws
Minimal risk strategy requires avoiding draws, which means betting on one team winning each match. If you can’t find a single bet with low enough risk, consider betting on totals (i.e., sets in tennis and number of baskets in basketball) instead.
#3 Rule – Consider home advantage
This rule requires considering the effect of playing on home ground when two teams oppose each other. The home team usually does have an advantage in terms of motivation or maybe just support from fans during crucial moments near the end of the match when players might feel psychologically obliged to return some favor to their supporters by trying harder than usual for a few minutes, thus increasing their probability of scoring and/or conceding a goal – which is exactly what we want our betting pick to do more often than not.
#4 Rule – Avoid games with no recent head-to-head clashes
This rule requires avoiding games where two teams have not met each other for a relatively long period, which in turn means betting only on the teams that played against each other once in the prior 12 months or preferably even more recently than that. Using this rule, we exclude possibilities of “lucky breaks” caused by some key players suddenly getting injured or suspended and their replacements being out of form or just completely unfamiliar with the style of play required to win against a strong team.
#5 Rule – Exclude such competitions as A-league
This rule requires excluding such competitions as Australian League unless you happen to know something about particular favorites that seem unbeatable there. In other words, it means betting only on European and South American competitions unless you have other “inside information,” which might suggest that some non-European country has a team that is strong enough to win a trophy in one of the major world competitions that can be used as sports betting strategy.
#6 Rule – Consider statistics from previous similar events
This rule requires considering results from so-called ‘similar’ matches, i.e., those with several key variables being similar to the current match. For example, home team vs. away team, a venue where the match takes place, or player’s performance analysis. Even though applying this rule can potentially bring down your profits during the long run because you’re taking into account too many parameters by using them as an extra source of information, you should always keep in mind that statistics are also available for future matches for online sports betting
#7 Rule – Do your analysis carefully
If you want to become a great professional bettor who is capable of producing outstanding profits over the longer run, then it is suggested that you do all your statistical analysis before placing any online sports betting. Even though there are plenty of betting systems out there claiming they’re able to provide accurate predictions without much effort on our part, don’t fall into this kind of trap unless you’re convinced it’s worth spending many hours putting together the perfect system yourself.
These are some basic pointers which you can keep in mind before betting. These sports betting strategies will keep your chances of risk at a minimum.
